More immigration please………………..
Two conflicting reports from the Office of Budget Responsibility and the Equality Human Rights Commission are symptomatic of the muddled thinking when it comes to immigration, the OBR report published in July is only available in PDF form so a report on the report is a good guide to the contents.
Much of the OBRs report is based on assumptions and as with all such documents, can never be finite, but it’s some of the assumptions that I query and also that come into conflict with the later report of the EHRC.
The assumption that inward migration is a good thing is based on the assumption that migrants tend to be of working age and do not have the dependents that come with older migrants.
That may well be true of white migrants whom the report says are also generally better qualified than the native equivalent, but of course the larger numbers from the sub continent don’t fall into that category, so the overall picture is very different.
The projection is that over the next 50yrs, the working age migrants based on a “low migration” figure of 140.000 a year, will be enough to offset the aging population costs that will rise with life expectancy rises and the demands that brings over that period.
This assumption is flawed in that, as the headlines say, what happens to the immigrant population when they get old?
And it’s not adequately answered. What is also not well answered is the other source of the migrants, the sub continent, their own demands and costs on services welfare etc., based on their higher birthrate and the dependents that come after, often themselves old and needing of the same services but having never contributed, not something that can be overlooked when national finances are the bottom line and hardly likely to improve the tax take, which is the sole aim of inward migration in the first place.
Well, that and a low wage economy that itself is not a good thing, other than for the corporations.
What is now a report over two years old from the EHRC will I’m sure be as relevant today as then.
In it, 50% of Muslim men and 75% Muslim women are unemployed, how this fits in with the previous assumptions of the OBR that immigration is the way out of the ageing problem I really don’t know.
Figures like that and in some further divisions of Muslim men i.e. for Somalis, the figures are much worse, with a burgeoning birthrate and many dependents.
There was no way figures could be found that break down the net cost of all this to the nation, it would appear as before that giving figures on a specific part of a certain section of the immigrant population is not PC.
Although for that year, benefits cost 8.6 billion inc, lost tax revenue, this has now risen to 13 billion and there are no figures for housing benefit etc, the revenue that is supposedly going to help our ageing population, instead of which the working population has not only that problem to support financially but an imported one as well.
And it’s growing at an alarming rate, as they have larger families the drain on resources financial and and services, especially the NHS, as there is a disproportionate number with disabilities, which will reach a stage where the fiscal drag will will either mean everyone working will pay escalating taxes to pay for it all or a lower standard of living will become the norm, as services collapse as already they show signs of under the strain.
With the OBR report at odds with the facts and no govt seemingly ready or willing to stand up to the problem, the outlook is bleak and that of course is without additional problems stemming from the ideology.
This situation is Europe-wide and the USA is becoming more affected than before and still no moves from those PTB.
The figures, as I say, from the EHRC are not new and have been well publicized and still no response.
One of the least interesting facts I came across whilst trawling through all this was that of the Muslim men who do work – 25% are cab drivers. These would be of the private cabs, cash in hand, no tax paid variety of course. Sooner or later, there will be some appalling backlash to all this unless govts forget their common purpose roots and get their collective fingers out of their backsides.
Recent sops such as a £200 pound deposit for NHS treatment are laughable in the scheme of things and cutting jobseekers’ allowance and benefits doesn’t seem to apply to Muslims like this one.