Whither the weather? Piers Corbyn seems to know

Over the past year, I have been reading Piers Corbyn’s WeatherAction site postings.

I haven’t yet subscribed, although it is tempting, because Corbyn — Labour MP (Islington North) Jeremy Corbyn’s brother — has uncanny scientific predictions based on solar activity.

Piers Corbyn has had an interest in weather since the age of five. He has a First in Physics from Imperial College and went on to study Astrophysics at Queen Mary College, London.

His weather predictions first attracted general interest in 1990. What is now known as WeatherAction was first listed on the Alternative Investment Market (AIM) as ‘Weather Action Holdings plc’ in 1997. WeatherAction left the AIM in 1999, albeit with a share loss of 55p (79p to 24p).

Today, he offers subscriptions on a somewhat primitive looking site. Get past the hype and you might be able to appreciate that his ‘Solar Weather Technique’ analyses more than a century of data relating to the sun combined with his own observations.

Although he does not normally appreciate being quoted by the average blogger, his latest post dated January 5, 2014, carries this message (emphases in the original):

PLEASE CIRCULATE THIS FORECAST AND COMMENT WITH ACKNOWLEDGEMENT. Thank you.

In it he has a pop at the global warmists who are surprised at what he calls the ‘Antarctic Too Much Ice Crisis’. Below are excerpts from his post:

The Green Fools are fleeing! So when will the grip of the ice loosen? …

Piers says “The Ice will weaken as winds change in WeatherAction’s next big circulation change which is around ~17 JAN so maybe by 20th or so they could have another go at getting the ship(s) out. We base this estimate on the fact that the world weather system is just that – a world system. Major changes in the NH [Northern Hemisphere] circulation and Jet stream have correspondences in the SH [Southern Hemisphere]…

Of course, when this happens the Warmist liars in BBC and the intellectually strained Independent, Guardian and New York Times will doubtless say the wind change is a sign of their lost Global Warming cause being redeemed. I urge all who support evidence-based science and accountable policies THIS YEAR to give these fraudsters, spongers and thieves NO QUARTER WHATSOEVER. We have to make 2014 so uncomforable for them and their lie machine that they would wish they could return to the sanctuary of an ice-bound ship or a Russian jail to escape the wrath of the people who are now suffering – and some d[y]ing – under rising fuel charges and hiked food prices and taxes which are a direct consequence of the insane policies these green parasites have foisted upon the world”.

As for us in January 2014, Piers advises (with dramatic photos at the aforementioned link):

Don’t sit beside the sea during a WeatherAction R5+ storm even if MetOffice didnt expect that much.

Enough said.

I get more information from Piers and Météo France than I do from most British forecasters, the exception being ITV. However, because Piers and Météo France are so accurate, I haven’t really needed to watch ITV’s forecasts for about a year.

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4 comments for “Whither the weather? Piers Corbyn seems to know

  1. Woodsy42
    January 6, 2014 at 12:02 pm

    I would love to have Piers’ forecasts but subscribing as a private person out of interest is hardly cost effective.
    Maybe he does and I haven’t found it but I wish he would issue a simple free regular daily generalised forecast, maybe equivalent to the ITV weather spots, for a short while ahead plus a generalised longer term outlook.
    I’m sure that would hardly impact his commercial customers who need much more detail but it would get him known and trusted (and hence get more paying commercial customers) as well as being of interest to poeple who have no financial/business motive to subscribe.

    • January 6, 2014 at 3:18 pm

      I agree wholeheartedly.

      The other turn-off, besides the general appearance of the site, is the hard-sell you need to read through or, if a frequent visitor, scroll past.

  2. Jim
    January 6, 2014 at 4:58 pm

    I think Piers Corbyn is his own worst enemy. I did pay for his forecasts for a couple of months a few years ago for my business (I’m a farmer) but found the service provided was too a) mad scientist like, and b) too one off. There’s no updating, no fine tuning, he just chucks this massive generalised screed of info into one download, a few months ahead, and thats what you get. When its obvious that he’s got it wrong (as all forecasters will do to be fair) there’s no mea culpa, no revised forecast in the light of new information, nothing. You have to revert to other services because he’s on to other things.

    If he was going to be honest he should post all his old forecasts once the time has passed, maybe 3 months later say, so people can look at them to see if they were accurate or not, and how often he’s right. Instead you occasionally get him posting an old forecast to boast how he predicted some storm 6 months previously. But you don’t get to see the other storms he predicted that didn’t happen. So you can’t make a fair assessment of his accuracy.

    I wouldn’t be surprised if his long range accuracy was far greater than the Met Office. But because of his obsessive control over his forecasts no-one can ever decide for themselves, and he remains a sort of side show freak of the meteorological arena, when with a bit of openness and better presentation he could be a major player. My guess is he’s obsessed with getting people to pay for the forecasts as his income stream, hence the way he controls the information. I would hazard a guess he could get a better income stream from posting free forecasts and taking advertisements (I know of at least one professional weather forecaster who makes a good living doing exactly that with youtube videos and his own free site with adverts). The big commercial clients (if he has any) could still have a personalised service, but opening up his forecasts to a mainstream public audience for free could generate massive awareness and advertising income well in excess of what he makes now.

    • January 6, 2014 at 9:20 pm

      Thanks, Jim, for the useful information on what type of forecasts subscribers receive. I don’t think I’ll give it much more thought now; I’ll just keep visiting the site and reading subscribers’ comments.

      Agree that his eccentricity isn’t doing him any favours.

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